Summary of State and Federal Election Results
Thursday, November 08, 2012
Summary of State and Federal Election
Results
Federal
Elections
The
last three elections have been wave elections. In 2006 and 2008, the
Democrats swept into office in Congress and the states, and in 2010, the
Republicans took back control of the House and many state chambers. With the
electorate seeming sharply divided, no wave was expected this year, and the
election largely retained the status quo in Congress. President Obama won
a second term in the White House. The Democrats retained control of the
Senate but did not get the 60 votes needed to prevent a filibuster. The
Republicans retained control of the House but by a smaller margin.
Senate
One-third
of the U.S Senate was up for re-election. Going into the election,
Democrats held 51 seats and had two Independents caucusing with them, and the
Republicans had 47 seats. Of the 33 Senate seats up for re-election, 21
were Democrats, 2 were Independents that caucus with the Democrats and 10 were
Republicans. While incumbents were running for many of these seats, some
seats were open due to retirements.
After
the elections, the Democrats had 53 seats and the Republicans had 45
seats. Independents won in Maine and Vermont. Vermont was the
incumbent Senator Bernard Sanders, who caucuses with the Democrats. In
Maine, former Governor Angus King won as an Independent for the seat of
retiring Senator Olympia Snowe (R). King has not indicated which party
caucus he will join.
The
Democrats took a seat from the Republicans in Massachusetts in defeating
incumbent Senator Scott Brown (R). The Democratic victory in Connecticut
is for the seat of retiring Senator Joe Lieberman, an Independent that caucused
with the Democrats. The Republicans gained the open seat in Nebraska of
retiring Senator Ben Nelson (D). The Democratic victory in Indiana was
for an open seat as the Republican candidate previously unseated six-term
Senator Richard Lugar (R) in the primaries. The overall result is a net gain of
two seats for the Democrats and a loss of two seats for the Republicans.
House
All
435 U.S. House seats were up for re-election. Prior to the election, the
Republicans held 242 seats and the Democrats had 193. A majority is 218
seats. The Democrats needed a wave election to take control of the House.
They needed to retain all their seats and win over 25 more from the
Republicans, and that did not happen in this election. Currently, the
Republicans have 232 seats and the Democrats have 191, with the votes still
being counted for 11 seats.
Representatives
Richard Hanna (D-NY) and Mick Mulvany (R-SC), sponsor and co-sponsor of H.R.
3534, our individual surety legislation this year, both won another term in the
House. Representative Gary Miller (R-CA), who has been supportive of our Miller
Act and federal procurement issues, also was re-elected.
Even
though the Republicans retained control, the House will have a lot of new faces
in the next Congress. As usual for an election following the ten-year
redistricting, more incumbent members will not return to Congress. Some
members were forced to run against a fellow incumbent from their political
party in the primaries due to redistricting. Thirteen incumbents lost
their seats in the primaries, seven Democrats and six Republicans, most due to
redistricting, but some also were losses to a non-incumbent challenger.
Twenty-one Democratic House members retired and 19 House Republicans also
retired. Several states picked up a new seat in the reapportionment after
the census, which created some new open seats. Given that 2010 freshman class
in the House had over 90 members, even if all of them win re-election, the
House will be composed of Representatives with lesser experience in the next
Congress.
State
Elections
The
last election in 2010 was a wave election for the Republicans, and they had the
advantage going into yesterday’s state elections as they controlled the
majority of the state houses and were in charge of the redistricting after the
2010 census. Prior to the elections, the Republicans controlled both chambers
in 26 states and the Democrats controlled both in 15 states. The Republicans
and Democrats each control one chamber in eight states and Nebraska is the one
unicameral state. Of the 99 chambers in the state houses, the Republicans
controlled 59 chambers and the Democrats controlled 36. The House in Alaska and
Oregon and the Senate in Virginia were tied.
State
Governors
Currently,
there are 29 Republican governors, 20 Democratic and one Independent.
There were only 11 gubernatorial elections this year, with six incumbent
governors seeking re-election and five governors that were term-limited.
Republican incumbents were re-elected in North Dakota and Utah. Indiana
elected a Republican to replace a term-limited Republican. In the eight
states in which there was a Democrat in the Governor’s mansion, four
states—Delaware, Missouri, Vermont and West Virginia had incumbents that won
re-election. The main question in the gubernatorial races yesterday was
whether the Republicans would gain some seats in the four states in which there
was no incumbent Democrat governor in the race—Montana, New Hampshire, North
Carolina and Washington—or whether the Democrats could hold on to all of
them. The Republicans took North Carolina and the Democrats took Montana,
New Hampshire and Washington. The overall result is a net gain of one for the
Republicans.
Insurance
Commissioners
The
incumbent insurance commissioners in Delaware, Montana, North Dakota, North
Carolina and Washington were seeking re-election at the polls yesterday along
with their Governor. Delaware Insurance Commissioner Karen Weldin Stewart
(D), Montana Insurance Commissioner Monica Lindeen (D), North Carolina
Insurance Commissioner Wayne Goodwin (D), North Dakota Insurance Commissioner
Adam Hamm (R) and Washington Insurance Commissioner Mike Kreidler all won
re-election.
State
Legislatures
Although
over 80% of the state legislative seats were up for election, the potential for
change in partisan control existed in less than 20 state chambers. These
were the chambers in which one party currently controlled by only a slim
margin. As of now, the Senate is no longer split down the middle in
Alaska, but rather the Republicans have taken the lead. For the first
time in history, both chambers in Arkansas are under Republican control.
The Democrats appear to have retained their slim lead in the Senate and have
taken the House from the Republicans in Colorado. In 2010, both chambers
in Maine and Minnesota shifted to the Republicans and both have shifted back to
the Democrats this year. The Republicans had a two seat edge on the
Democrats in the New York Senate, which has now gone to a slim margin in favor
of the Democrats. Democrats have broken
the tie in the Oregon House and now have control.
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